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Julio Jones was limited in Tuesday’s practice with his back injury. It’s noteworthy that he’s listed with a back injury instead of the usual hamstring, though we suspect the Falcons are simply easing him into the practice week. The only rookie receiver with four 100-yard games, Jones is locked in as a high-upside WR2 with three dome games the rest of the way.
(Jets at Skins)
Jets are 1-7 ATS on the road vs non-conference opponent
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(Bears vs Chiefs)
Bears are 12-3-1 ATS as a non-conference favorite
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(Bills vs Titans)
Bills are 5-12 ATS as a favorite after a SU division loss
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(Miami vs Raiders)
Miami is 3-11 ATS as a home favorite (2-0 this season)
Miami is 5-13 ATS hosting a non-division opponent (1-2 this season)
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(Browns vs Ravens)
Ravens are 7-17 ATS on the road after a SU win (1-3 this season)
Ravens are 3-17 ATS as a road favorite off back to back SU wins (0-2 this season)
Browns are 10-2 ATS after losing by 3 or less (1-0 this season)
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(Steelers vs Bengals)
The home team is 5-13-1 ATS in the series: Play on Bengals
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(Tampa vs Carolina)
Tampa is 6-19 ATS at home
Dog is 10-6 ATS in this series
Carolina is 12-7 ATS past 19
The Under has come in 13 out of 16 times they have played each other
Carolina is 11-2 ATS less than .500 in December vs opponent off back to back SU losses
Carolina is 1-9 ATS before playing Atlanta
Tampa is 1-7 ATS at home off back to back dog roles & playing division opponent next
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(Houston vs Falcons)
Falcons are 11-3 ATS on the road vs AFC opponent
Falcons are 10-4 ATS as a road favorite (1-2 this season)
Falcons are 15-6-1 ATS as a favorite of 3 points or less
Falcons are 0-9 ATS off a SU win in December vs .500 or better opponent off a division game (3rd string qb for Texans has to be accounted for)
Texans are 8-1 ATS at home in December vs opponent off a home game
Tough game to choose by the trends
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Now back to the reviews:
As predicted the by us yesterday the “dirty birds” made sure that the home nest would be secured and dominated the game throughout all quarters until the last 1:05 when the Ravens scored a quick TD (Too quick for their needs) and left just enough time for the Falcons to drive 80 yards for a game winning TD to Superstar receiver Rody White for a shove it in your face super spread cover ATS.
Pick: Falcons -1 (NFL) (Winner 26-21)
Our next pick is on college football on the Big East.
Huskies dominated this game with defense and sound running with opportunistic play action passes that kept the chippy Panther D off balance. The game was pretty much decided just 10 seconds before the end of the 3rd quarter when the Huskies returned a punt for 95 yrds putting themselves behind by just one point 20-21. Everything went down hill from there for the overrated Panthers and lost the game outright as they could not stop the bruising run by Uconn.
Pick: Uconn Huskies +5.5 (CF) (Winner outright 30-28)
Congratulations to all bettors!!!
Parlay Dave
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