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Arizona/Green Bay OVER 37.5
I had Green Bay last week because I love their depth at QB. They only managed 17 points but had over 340 yards and 22 first downs. A stalled drive inside the 5 did them in but I expect them to move the ball again. The first teamers may only see the field for the 1st quarter but the thought of this Green Bay offense against what I deem a horrific Arizona defense is scary. Arizona’s first team defense is total trash so you know the second stringers blow too which means Matt Flynn (who I love) and Harrell should be able to move the ball comfortably.
Green Bay’s defense did not look good last week but I think it’s important to remember their defense is largely scheme based and they have a history of not showing any looks at all in the preseason under McCarthy and that is exactly what they did last week and as a result they made Colt McCoy look like Peyton Manning. The Packers are 16-5 to the Over under McCarthy in preseason.
Arizona might actually have a decent offense this year with Kolb under center. They have playmakers in Fitz and Doucet, and I also think the running game has a shot to be good with Wells and Williams who both looked good last week. The thought of Hall, Skelton, and Bartel as the backups may scare many people but these guys have been in the system and have started actual games which is what you want with depth QB’s in the preseason, these guys played well last week and should again this time if the Packers go vanilla on defense again. I think this one gets to at least 40.
August 19, 2011
Short URLarizona cardinals, greenbayFootball Picks, NFL, Sports Picks
YTD: 5-1
Pittsburgh -3
Though the perception is out there that good teams usually don’t give a crap about the preseason I think the Steelers take this game seriously. First of all this is a national TV game on FOX, secondly I think these guys will be geared up to play this year’s darlings, and last but probably most importantly the Steelers were god awful last week. Washington manhandled them as Rex Grossman threw all over the field, the Skins piled up over 450 yards, had a 2-1 Time of P advantage, and Pittsburgh did nothing offensively on any level.
We will probably only seeing Big Ben for a quarter but that is fine because I expect good showings out of Leftwich, Batch, and Dixon who were bad last week and are still fighting for jobs (at least one is going to be cut). Andy Reid has proven he doesn’t give a crap about the preseason and against a team and defense that might just show up (Pit is 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS under Tomlin at home in preseason allowing just 9.0 PPG) I think Vick might get the early hook. If this defense brings the heat there’s no way Vick stays in long, the last thing the Eagles need is him taking shots from some of these defensive linemen. I don’t have much hope for Vince Young either. Granted the Steelers probably won’t show a whole lot but Young was benched against Pittsburgh last year because he was too overwhelmed by their defense, so confidence may also be an issue.
Long way of saying Pittsburgh probably shows up while Philadelphia probably doesn’t and I see the depth check also going to Pittsburgh.
August 18, 2011
Short URLfootball, pittsburgh, steelersFootball Picks, NFL, Sports Picks, Uncategorized
San Diego Chickens -135 (5 units)
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Cheehee! 